Pancham's astrological take on the elections

I am trying to predict this based on 3 factors:
- Overall strength of natal chart with some emphasis on planet positions related to winning in competitions/politics
- Current dasha and bhukti and their stranghts/weaknesses
- Transits (what are the planets doing on & around Nov 4)
Typically, the above framework shows good coverage as well as is MECE in nature.
We'll do a comparison of Obama vs. Mccain and also Palin vs. Biden for some of the above factors.
Also - a big assumption here is that the birth times and locations I get from the internet are accurate.
Overall strength:
McCain has a strong virgo ascendant and lord Mercury is placed on the ascendant making it a strong horoscope. Such strong Mercury should give sharp analytical/problem solving skills as well as articulation/language/sharp choice of words skills - have not seen him enough to comment on that. His 6th house (house of competitions) has Saturn well placed in his own sign Aquarius. That does make it strong however its motion is retrograde or backwards which reduces its power. It will give him patience in competition and long lasting fighting power against any kind of problem. One fairly significant weakness I see is Mars in his chart is debilitated (in weakest position) and its sitting in the 11th house of 'wish fulfillment' as the 3rd (house of efforts) lord indicating that he either loses interest in putting efforts or will put them in an undesired fashion. This will negate some of the fighting power of Saturn and perhaps he may go down fighting without his wish getting fulfilled. He has a well-placed Jupiter in the 3rd house which will help him as it aspects the weak Mars as well as protects the 'luck' of the 9th house. Overall definitely strong.
Obama's lagna is libra & its lord is also powerful, Venus is in the 9th house enhancing overall luck. His 6th lord Jupiter is retrograde & debilitated in capricorn however Saturn is in the same house (own sign) which makes this combination a very powerful 'vipreet rajyoga'. The combination aspects Sun in the 10th house (house of profession). Sun is very strong and in the 10th house is typically an indicator of a successful political career. Sun in the 10th house as the 11th lord (wish fulfillment) becomes digbala (extra strong) in that respect. 6th lord Jupiter (lord of competitions) aspects 9th lord Mercury (lord of luck) in effect making him lucky in competitions.
Current Dasha
McCain has Saturn Mahadasha and Jupiter Antardasha indicating end of Saturn Mahadasha. Generally at their end, Dasha's give poor results (recent e.g. Federer's sudden drop towards end of 2007 to end 2008.)
To me this factor by itself can signal a loss for McCain.
Obama has Jupiter/Sun (with Sun Bhukti having started in August 08)- it’s a strong strong phase for him indicating victory.

Transits
The transits are more or less equally strong with Obama's being a shade stronger as he has influence on Sun on lagna (another vipreet rajyoga), Jupiter in own 3rd house of efforts.
What also favors him here is that transits are very strong for Biden on Nov 4th (indicating prestigious job offer) compared to Palin. Palin has leo as the 12th house with saturn aspecting it and jupiter transiting natal ketu which makes it a weak transit and possibly 'deception' in some form. Otherwise though, her chart is that of a total warrior and a very strong one.
On all 3 dimensions, the astrological indications favor Obama. Lets see what happens.